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UVA's Economic Insights

Explore the latest macroeconomic trend analysis from Dr. Robert Barone, Ph.D. to stay informed.

AI Euphoria Meets Economic Reality: What the Markets Might Be Missing

August 21, 2025

How Tariffs Impact a Fragile Economy: Margin Compression, Supply Chain Shifts, and the Illusion of Growth

August 14, 2025

Data Shows A Weakening Economy But Markets and Fed Unresponsive

August 13, 2025

Private Debt: Buying a First-Class Ticket on the Titanic

August 12, 2025

Structural Gold Accumulation by Central Banks: A Strategic Shift in Reserve Composition

August 11, 2025

Equities March Higher While The Fed Asserts Its Independence

Fed Should Act as Economy Slows—Will Politics Delay It?

Incoming Data Points to an Economic Slowdown: Fed Remains Behind the Curve

As Inflation Withers, the Fed Remains Behind the Curve

Job Numbers Look Strong – But They Aren’t The Fed’s Political Dilemma

More Evidence of a Slowing Economy – When Will the Fed React?

Recessions Signs Rise; Moody’s Turns the Bond Market Blue

Markets Pause as Fed Policy Becomes a Hindrance to Growth

The Economy is Slowing – Will the Fed Act in Time?

The Economy is Slowing; Tariffs Make it Worse

Financial Markets Now Contemplating Increased Recession Probability

Uncertainty Cools the Economy

The Weakening Economy Needs Rate Relief

A Slowing Economy: The Evidence

February 25, 2025

While Tariffs Take Center Stage, Inflation Approaches Fed Target

February 12, 2025

Policy Uncertainty “Trumps” a Weakening Economy

January 28, 2025

Divergences Between Macro and Micro Data: The Implications

January 6, 2025

Financial Market Volatility: Blame the Fed

December 23, 2024